2015 International Workshop on Typhoon and Flood-

APEC Experience Sharing on Hazardous Weather Events and Risk Management

 

Time

27 May (Wed.)

08:30~09:00

Registration

09:00~10:00

Opening Remark and Keynote I

Room: The Forum

09:00~09:15

Opening

Ching-Yen TSAY, ACTS, Chinese Taipei

Jough-Tai WANG, NARLabs, Chinese Taipei

Landrico U. DALIDA Jr., PAGASA, The Philippines

09:15~10:00

Multi-Hazard Mitigation and Prevention Technology in Taiwan

Wei-Fuu YANG,

Ministry of Economic Affairs, Chinese Taipei

10:00~10:30

Group Photo / Coffee Break

10:30~12:00

Keynote II

Room: The Forum

10:30~11:15

Outer Mesoscale Convective Systems in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones:

Implications for Flood Risk Reduction

Russell L. ELSBERRY,

Naval Postgraduate School, USA

11:15~12:00

 

Flexible Modeling of Univariate and Multivariate Catastrophic Risks

Barry K. GOODWIN
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, North Carolina State University, USA

 

 

 

12:00~13:20

Lunch
Room: The Forum

13:20~14:40

Met Session 1:
Atmospheric Observation and Modeling Development

Chair: Russell L. ELSBERRY

Room: The Forum

Hydro Session 1:
Hydrological Modeling and Assessment

Chair: Gwo-Fong LIN

Room: Socrates

 

Socio-Economic Session 1:

Socio-Economic Impact Assessment: Methodologies and Applications

Chair: Ching-Cheng CHANG

Room: Plato

 

13:20~13:40

Airborne Phased Array Radar (APAR): The Next Generation of Airborne Polarimetric Doppler Weather Radar

Wen-Chau LEE,

NCAR, USA

Assessment of Climate Change Impact by Regional Storm Frequency Mapping for Upper Yangtze River Basin

Jeanne HUANG,

Uni. of Guelph, Canada

Assessing the Socio-Economic Impacts of Tropical Storm Ketsana: Approaches and Methodologies

Emma E. PORIO,

ADMU, The Philippines

13:40~14:00

Radar Radical Velocity Data Assimilation for Heavy Precipitation

Dong-Kyou LEE,

Seoul Nat. Uni., Korea

Flood Forecasting Utilizing EnKF Rainfall Forecasts for Northern Kyushu Flood Event

Tomoki USHIYAMA,

ICHARM, Japan

The Economic Impact of Typhoon Related Electric Power Outages during Summer Season

Huey-Lin LEE,

NCCU, Chinese Taipei

14:00~14:20

The More Rain, the Better the Model Performs: A Key Property in Categorical Statistics to Understand Model Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) Capability for Extreme Rainfall Events

Chung-Chie WANG,

NTNU, Chinese Taipei

Disaster Impact Assessment Under Extreme Typhoon Events with Climate Change

Keh Chia YEH,

NCTU, Chinese Taipei

Estimating the Potential Damage of Typhoon Induced by Climate Change on Rice Sector in Taiwan and Japan

Chi-Chung CHEN,

NCHU, Chinese Taipei

14:20~14:40

Ensemble Singular Vector and Its Applications in the EnKF Framework for Typhoon Prediction

Shu-Chih YANG,

NCU, Chinese Taipei

A Real-time Warning System for Scour-Induced Bridge Failure

Wen-Dar GUO,

TTFRI, Chinese Taipei

Debris Flow Loss Assessment under Extreme Climate Scenario in Kao-Ping River Basin

Hsin-Chi LI,

NCDR, Chinese Taipei

14:40~15:00

Coffee Break

15:00~16:20 

Met Session 2:
Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events

Chair: Don-Kyou LEE
Room: The Forum

Hydro Session 2:
Natural Hazard Management
Chair: Jeanne HUANG

Room: Socrates

Socio-Economic Session 2:
Disaster Preparedness: Decision Making and Risk Management

Chair: Barry K. GOODWIN

Room: Plato

15:00~15:20

Extreme Rainfall Trends in East Asian Monsoon and Tropical Climate System

Chung-Hsiung SUI,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

Weather Radar Rainfall for Hydrological Hazard Risk Management

Dawei HAN,

Uni. of Bristol, UK

How to Optimize the Decision Making Using Ensemble Probabilistic Forecast?

Hui-Ling CHANG,

CWB, Chinese Taipei

15:20~15:40

Future Increase of Maximum Typhoon Intensity Associated with Climate Change

Kazuhisa TSUBOKI,

Nagoya Uni., Japan

The Drought Event and Mitigation Measures in 2014~2015

Kuo-Chu TSENG,

WRA, Chinese Taipei

Using CAT Model to Establish a More Reasonable Rate Plan of Typhoon/Flood Insurance in Taiwan

Wenko HSU,

NCU, Chinese Taipei

15:40~16:00

The Changing El Niño and Its Impacts on Extreme Weather Events in the Western Pacific

Jin-Yi YU,

UC Irvine, USA

Recent Legislation Trends in Taiwan in Response to Hazardous Weather

Fang-Chung LEE,

NTU, Chinese Taipei

A Better Way to Promote Household Flood Mitigation and Insurance by Risk Communication

Yen-Lien KUO,

NCKU, Chinese Taipei

16:00~16:20

Future Projection of Typhoon Precipitation over Taiwan

Chao-Tzuen CHENG,

NCDR, Chinese Taipei

Bias Correction of Dynamic Downscaled Typhoons Rainfall Data for Hydrologic Applications

Yuan-Fong SU,

NCDR, Chinese Taipei

Heterogeneous Risk Perceptions and Demands for Flood Insurance against Climate Change in Tainan City

Ya-Pin LYU,

TTFRI, Chinese Taipei

16:20~16:30

 Coffee Break

16:30~18:00

Poster Competition

Room: Locke and Archimedes

Time

28 May (Thur.)

08:00~08:30

Registration

08:30~09:55

 

Keynote III and Session 3

Chair: Dawei HAN

Room: The Forum

08:30~09:15

Comprehensive Strategies for Large-scale Landslide Mitigation in Taiwan

Chen-Yang LEE,

Soil and Water Conservation Bureau, Chinese Taipei

09:15~09:35

Possible Mechanisms for Asymmetric Convection and Rainfall Associated with Tropical Cyclone Landfall

Johnny CHAN,

City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

09:35~09:55

Large Increasing Trend of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in Taiwan

and the Roles of Terrain and Southwest Monsoon

Hung-Chi KUO,

National Taiwan University, Chinese Taipei

09:55~10:15

Coffee Break

10:15~11:27

 

Member Economies Experience Sharing Session

Chair: Tien-Chiang YEH / Landrico U. DALIDA Jr.

Room: The Forum

10:15~10:27

 

Real-Time QPF by the Central Weather Bureau

Kuo-Chen LU,

Central Weather Bureau, Chinese Taipei

10:27~10:39

 

A Method for Landslide Prediction on a Basin Scale Using Water Content Indicator

Chen-Yu CHEN,

Soil and Water Conservation Bureau, Chinese Taipei

10:39~10:51

 

Redirection of DOST-Project NOAH's Initiatives in Disaster Risk Reduction and Management due to Lessons Learned from Typhoon Haiyan

Ken Adrian ARACAN,

Project Nationwide Operation Assessment of Hazards, the Philippines

10:51~11:03

 

Application of the Hydromechanical Model for a Description and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones Motion

Boris SHMERLIN,

Research and Production Association "Typhoon", Russia

11:03~11:15

 

Accounting for Evaporation Spray in the Near-Water Later of the Atmosphere in the Model AHW and Estimation of Its Significance for the Calculation of the Movement and the Intensity of the TC on the Example of the Two Typhoons

Sergey PETRICHENKO,

Research and Production Association "Typhoon", Russia

11:15~11:27

 

Expansion of NCEP Operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) Model Forecast Guidance to all Global Tropical Cyclones

Vijay TALLAPRAGADA,

National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration, USA

11:27~11:45

Coffee Break

11:45~12:00

 

Student Poster Awards

Room: The Forum

12:00~12:15

Concluding Session & Closing Remarks

Chair: Cheng-Shang LEE / Yu-Chieng LIOU

Room: The Forum

12:15~13:30

Lunch

Room: The Forum

Time

28 May (Thur.)

13:30~14:42

Discussion and Member Economies Experience Sharing (By Invitation)

Chair: Vijay TALLAPRAGADA / Tsun-Hua YANG

Room: Archimedes

13:30~13:42

A Roundup of Recent Debris Flow Disasters in Taiwan

Hsiao-Yuan YIN,

Soil and Water Conservation Bureau, Chinese Taipei

13:42~13:54

Performance of TANC (Taiwan Auto-Nowcaster) for 2014 Warm-season Afternoon Thunderstorm

Wei-Peng HUANG,

Central Weather Bureau, Chinese Taipei

13:54~14:06

Status of the Typhoon Analysis and Prediction Technique Development in the National Typhoon Center/KMA

Won-Tae YUN and Kun-Young BYUN,

National Typhoon Center, Korea Meteorological Administration, South Korea

14:06~14:18

Early Warning System for Jakarta Flooding

Tri Handoko SETO,

Agency of the Assessment and Application of Technology, Indonesia

14:18~14:30

Operational of Early Warning on Extreme Weather to Support Disaster Management in Indonesia

Miming SAEPUDIN,

Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency, Indonesia

14:30~14:42

Experience in Developing a Flood Information and Forecasting and Advisory System in the Philippines

Enrico PARINGIT,

University of the Philippines Diliman, The Philippines

14:42~15:00

Coffee Break

15:00~16:00

Discussion and Member Economies Experience Sharing (By Invitation)

Chair: Yu-Chieng LIOU

Room: Archimedes

15:00~15:12

 

Extended and Seasonal Precipitation Forecast Experiments with a Variable-Resolution Global Model

Gong-Do HWANG,

TTFRI, Chinese Taipei

15:12~15:24

 

Challenges in Disaster Management in Vietnam / Lesson Learned in the Mitigation of Typhoon and Floods

Vu Kien TRUNG,

Disaster Management Center, Vietnam

15:24~15:36

 

Lesson Learned from Thailand Flood 2011

Chaiwat EKKAWATPANIT,

King Mongkut's University of Thonburi, Thailand

15:36~15:48

 

Thailand Flooding: The Most Expensive Natural Disaster in Thai History

Charoon LAOHALERTCHAI,

Thai Meteorological Department, Thailand

15:48~16:00

 

Preparation, Response and Rehabilitation in Flood Risk Scenarios in Peru

Felix ICOCHEA,

National Institute of Civil Defense, Peru

Time

29 May (Fri.)

08:30~16:30

 

Field Study (By Invitation):